The following is a recent survey of False Asia on the Presidential Preference of voters:
Notwithstanding, there is no question that Sara is the one to beat (not so much because of the False Asia survey than the fact that Dutae will do everything in his power to cheat the elections and ensure that Sara wins the presidency) if the Philippines has any hope of avoiding the fate of Venezuela.
Dutae messing-up every aspect of governance followed by his daughter (with Dutae shamelessly running as her vice president) would be like the chronology of the regime of Chavez and Maduro in Venezuela and it does not take a genius to deduce the imminent catastrophe that would befall the country.
As of today, the Philippines, under Dutae, is already a failed-state.
As early as today, way before the start of the campaign period for the 2022 elections, Dutae is already using public resources to cheat! This should be grounds for the disqualification of Sara but the COMELEC (much like any of the government agencies today) cannot be relied upon to enforce the rules with respect to any violations committed by Dutae et al.
This brazen tandem of daughter and father is nothing more than an act of self-preservation (not to mention a perversion of the Constitution), as Dutae will most assuredly be imprisoned (as he should be) if the opposition wins the presidency. And there is no question that the opposition can only win if it fields a single candidate for presidency.
Here is my fearless forecast, which happens to coincide with my personal preference for Leni Robredo to run for president and for the united "opposition" to rally behind her.
Out of all the so-called "opposition" candidates, Leni stands-out not only as a genuine and principled opposition candidate but as a public servant with a solid track record of performance. It is precisely because of her principles that she has been so utterly maligned by the intense and persistent character assassination of the Dutae and Marcos political machinery (particularly in the minds of the D and E sectors of society, which happen to be the majority, if not the supermajority, of voters). Her effectiveness and transparency as a public servant have been a stark contrast to the ineptitude and corruption of Dutea et al, who purposefully deprived the Office of the Vice President of government resources for fear of Leni eclipsing the so-called "programs" of Dutae--which she has done anyway.
The question is, whether or not the people can rely on the likes of Grace Poe, Isko, Binay and Lacson to fall in-line with the paramount objective of displacing Dutae et al. The greatest threat to the opposition is disunity--like Grace Poe insisting on running (again) for president in 2022 (and splintering the opposition), which would be a repeat of her candidacy in the previous (2016) presidential elections instead of supporting Mar Roxas, who would have been a far superior president to the nincompoop in Malacañang today. Objectively speaking and in spite of all the shortcomings of Mar, we knew that in the last presidential elections and we sure as hell know that today.
The same would apply to the likes of Binay and Lacson (i.e., splintering the opposition), if they should insist on running for president in 2022. Not so much in the case of Isko running for president in 2022, as he would conveniently splinter even more the stupid votes among Sara, BBM and Pacman.
It is well-know that Razon is the principal funder of Isko's political career. It is also well-know that Razon is an ally of Dutae. That said, Isko has been very astute in terms of keeping his association with Dutae at "arms-length" even to the point of criticizing the presidential bid of Sara, when he recently stated:
"Hindi ako naniniwala na ang posisyon sa gobyerno minamana in a democratic government. Ang demokrasya, ang taongbayan ang pumipili; hindi ipinipilit 'yung mga kalahi niya pagkatapos na niya."
(I don't believe that positions in government are inherited in a democratic government. In a democracy, the people choose; relatives cannot be forced to replace him after he's done.)
"Hindi ako naniniwala diyan (I don't believe in that) and I am not gonna vote for that as a voter and I disagree as a citizen of this country," he said.
Hence, to the extent Isko is willing to fall in-line with the opposition (albeit a half-baked opposition candidate), he could be useful as a vice presidential candidate of Leni, particularly in light of his popularity in the National Capital Region. The same could be said of Grace Poe as a vice presidential candidate, particularly in light of the iconic stature of FPJ in the Mindanao Region--except that Philippine society remains quite misogynistic and may still reject the notion of having women for president and vice president. Hence, I would strongly advocate for Grace Poe to remain in the Senate, where she could serve as the next Senate President under Leni's administration. In fact, Grace Poe, who is still quite young, can still run for president after Leni's administration--and she will probably be quite "winnable" at that time (2028).
Bongbong and Pacman essentially serve as the ERAP nuisance in the previous bid of Villar for the presidency. If ERAP did not divert the stupid votes from Villar, then Villar (instead of PNoy) could have possibly won the presidency. Similarly, Bongbong and Pacman, in their hubris to run for president (the former being totally undeserving and the latter being totally incapable), will divert the stupid votes from Sara.
Assuming the opposition unites and gets its act together (and Dutae is only partially successful in the wholesale cheating of the presidential votes), I predict the votes for presidential candidates as follows, more or less:
In spite of Dutae being the incumbent president, the Marcos family cannot consider Dutae et al as anything more than their errand boy. Hence, Bongbong, in spite of public declarations to the contrary, will never play second fiddle to Sara. On the other hand, Dutae et al are so drunk with power that they have the gall to even consider a daughter-father tandem.
Pacman is an intellectual pygmy who thinks he can punch his way to the presidency. We should thank the Greek gods for hubris, which will be the end of these political trapos and possibly result in some glimmer of hope for the Philippines--post Dutae's scorched-earth regime.
If there is any truth that Sara is not all well (as in physically sick and, therefore, may not actually run for the presidency in 2022), then Dutae might be stupid enough to anoint his lapdog, Bong Gago, as his "successor." This would most definitely be the death knell of the Dutae Dynasty.